I doubt it

Bush and Blair Push Plan to End Mideast Fighting

By JIM RUTENBERG and HELENE COOPER
Published: July 29, 2006

WASHINGTON, July 28 — President Bush and Prime Minister Tony Blair of Britain said Friday that they would present a plan to end hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah at the United Nations next week as Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice headed into an urgent round of weekend meetings in the Middle East to hash out the details.

Facing pressure from Arab and European allies to end the violence, Mr. Bush and Mr. Blair, at a joint White House appearance, painted the broad outlines of a plan in which an international peacekeeping force would insert itself between the warring sides and help the weak Lebanese military take control of the southern region controlled by Hezbollah.

But aides acknowledged that the hard work of figuring out what Lebanon and Israel would accept, and how an international force would be composed, lay ahead.

Israel wants to weaken Hezbollah and push it well away from the border, and may not be ready to call off its campaign, especially when it has serious doubts that an international force would be strong enough to contain Hezbollah. And Hezbollah, which built its reputation on its willingness to fight Israel, has always rejected calls to disarm, and seems to have a flow of military and financial support from Syria and Iran

Hezbollah has agreed to a cease-fire, even though they don't like the international
troops. But I think the Israelis will be disappointed, because Hezbollah will not give anyone a cause to attack them.

As far as disarmament goes, every Israeli bomb makes that less likely.