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Doesn't look good, does it?

What The "DOS" Story Is About

by Chris Bowers, Tue Aug 08, 2006 at 03:25:53 PM EST

I just talked with Eddie, and he told me that yes, turnout was very high in some places and pretty low in other places. However, he told me, there was a consistent pattern where it was very high in Lamont wards and very low in Lieberman wards. This is not surprising. We have poll watchers all over the place, and canvassers to back them up in those same wards. Lieberman, by contrast, has no one at the polls, has cancelled the rest of his public appearances today, and has invited his supporters not to volunteer, but instead to attend a party at 5pm, during peak voting. Things seem to be going well today for Ned Lamont, and Joe Lieberman is on the brink of a defeat--possibly a defeat that would surpass expectations, thereby finishing Lieberman off.

For a long time, the storyline the Lieberman camp was going to use to justify an Independent run was low turnout. The Lieberman camp kept pushing a narrative that they would do better with high turnout, and that they wanted to make a case to as many voters as possible. However, with turnout looking pretty good today, and with it looking like high turnout will help Lamont, not Lieberman (read Mystery Pollster for more on this), that justification for an independent run is collapsing. Now, they need something else, and have latched onto this "dirty tricks" narrative. If the storyline reads that Lieberman was robbed by evil bloggers, then he can justify running as an independent almost no mater what he loses by. The lapdog media has been more than helpful in fueling this narrative for Lieberman.

Never mind that the Lieberman website crashed the last time they had huge traffic back in June. Never mind that the Lamont campaign has offered to come help fix the problem. Never mind that the Lamont website has a Google cache link to the Lieberman website, thus allowing it to receive several times more traffic than it would have otherwise. Never mind that the Lieberman website had no interactive features or tools for supporters to use anyway. Never mind that the idea that this is even a DOS attack doesn't add up. Never mind any of this, because the lapdog press cannot stop falling all over themselves to help throw Lieberman a lifeline for a few last minute sympathy votes and a justification to run even if he loses tonight.

Ok, we won't know until 9 or so, but if this is true, round one is over. The assumption on turnout was based on the idea that Dems who were loyal to Lieberman, black and latino voters, wouldn't vote for a rich, white guy from Greenwich. Lieberman surely worked that angle hard. Only problem, people don't resent the rich for their wealth, they want to be part of it.

Lamont's business success is appealing to many young black and Latino voters. They want to have similar success. This was a factor in support for Bloomberg. Look at current celebrities, they vacation on the Hamptons and the Cote D'Azur. They spend more on accessorizing their cars than they cost. They drink Cristal and wear $7000 shirts.

They don't resent Lamont for his wealth, they want it or a share of it.

He's been successful in business, which is a dream of the black middle class. A bus ride in Harlem shows new stores opening up all the time.

Lieberman kept telling people they knew him, unfortunately, they knew he kissed Bush. And that mattered more.

Update: THIS JUST IN: TOTALLY NON-CRAPPY WEB HOSTING COMPANY WANTS TO SUE US:

Hello, this is Kerry Szeps, owner of 2Dog Media, LLC. We have been notified of the false statements on the front page of your website regarding our business. These statements are false and damaging. 2Dog Media, LLC has not hosted the joe2006.com website for over 3 months. When the site was hosted with us, it was on a dedicated server with unlimited bandwidth and daily server back-ups. The Lieberman Campaign was paying much more than $7 a month for this service. The campaign manager, Sean Smith, came on board and decided he would rather work with a friend of his that he had worked with in the past. Since then, our company has not been in charge of the hosting services.

Our lawyers have been notified and are requesting a number to contact the owners of Wonkette.com. Please send us this information.

What this means: Sean Smith/Lieberman ditched a (hypothetically) competent web hosting service to go with a cheap, easily crashed one owned by a buddy. Cost-cutting or cronyism, it’s still idiotic. Thankfully, they’ve switched to a reputable and family-friendly alternative

We will have much to say about this after the election results.